27 / 04 / 2013

Wigan v TOTTENHAM

There’s a lot at stake for both of these sides with Wigan looking for 3 valuable points in their fight against relegation and Tottenham aiming to do the business and maintain their push for the 4th Champions League position. This leads to the game having the potential to be a tasty encounter and i expect their to be more than 1 goal to watch on MOTD this evening from this match.

For me, Tottenham should take home the points today. They have a decent enough away record of W9 D2 L5, and considering Wigan’s home record of W4 D4 L8, this should stand them in good stead. There is a home/away GD swing of 20 favouring Spurs, and with Wigan’s usual formation with 3 center backs with 2 wing back, i can see players such as Bale, who is clearly in the right mood at present after his display against Man City, it would not surprise me to see Spurs make the home side’s net bulge a couple of times today.

Barnsley v HULL

If Hull win they get promoted and leave Barnsley going into the last day of the season needing 3 points to just stand a chance of survival. Clearly both sides have a lot at stake in this game but i fancy Hull, especially after seeing Watford step up the pressure with their win of Leicester. Barnsley are winless in 5 now and have scored just 2 goals in this period. At home they have an average record of W8 D5 L9, whilst away from Hull boast a record of W11 D3 L8. There is a home/away GD swing of 5 which favours Hull, yet as both teams have conceded more than they have scored when looking at the relevant home/away statistics, i anticipate a low scoring game here. Perhaps a 1-0 away win.

Tranmere v BOURNEMOUTH

Tranmere have nothing to play for in this game after completely blowing any chance of promotion after going on an appalling run, losing 8 of their last 10. They probably just want this season to be over now, and i don’t really expect them to fancy the visit of already promoted Bournemouth who are looking to secure the title of ‘Champions’ by winning here. I’ve already mentioned Tranmere’s recent record and Bournemouth’s could not be any more different really, having won 8 on the bounce. There is a home/away GD swing of 11 in this game, and it wouldnt surprise me if there were O2.5 goals in this one.

NORTHAMPTON v Barnet

It is the home & away form of the sides which is making me include this game today. At home Northampton have a record of W16 D2 L4, whilst Barnet’s away form reads as W5 D3 L14. There is a home/away GD swing of 38 favouring Northampton. Although Barnet have a bigger incentive to win with them needing 3 points to secure survival, i feel they are just not quite good enough away from home. Their resilience is likely to be high however, so U2.5 goals for me.

ROTHERHAM v Aldershot

My final game see’s me fancy Rotherham take on Aldershot. A win for the home side will see them playing League One football next season whilst dooming Aldershot to non-league football. Rotherham have a home record of W13 D1 L8, whilst Aldershots away record reads as W4 D11 L7. There is a home/away GD swing of 21 favouring Rotherham, and i expect that to have grown come the end of the day. O2.5 goals for me.

Bet Summary

Tottenham  /  Hull  /  Bournemouth  /  Northampton  /  Rotherham  –  All to Win

** Played as Doubles, Trebles, Quad & 5-Fold (34/1)**

Wigan v Tottenham ~ Over 2.5 Goals

Barnsley v Hull ~ Under 2.5 Goals

Tranmere v Bournemouth ~ Over 2.5 Goals

Northampton v Barnet ~ Under 2.5 Goals

Rotherham v Aldershot ~ Over 2.5 Goals

** Played as Doubles, Trebles, Quad & 5-Fold (18/1)**