25 / 05 / 2013 – Champions League Special

Once again Bet365 are willingly letting us line our pockets with their cash, all for just a little bit of effort.

Bet365 are offering a deal where if you place a pre-match bet then they will give you a free In-Play bet to the same stake during the big match. It is only “free” as you get the in-play stake refunded if it loses….you still have to stump up the amount from your account. There is a maximum bet amount of £50.00 so to maximize this offer you will need £100 to stake. Just to be clear, if your pre match bet wins, thus meaning your in-play loses, then the £50 refund can be withdrawn immediately with no need to bet it as with other other bookies offers. This is what makes this offer fantastic! Happy days!

Recommendation:

Route 1:

Place your £50 bet before kick off on Bayern @ 1.75, this returns £87.50

Then place £50 on Dortmund Double Chance – ‘Draw/Dortmund’  in play during the game, currently @2.10, returning £105

This means if Bayern win you will make £37.50 profit.

However if the game ends as a draw or Dortmund win, you will make £5 profit.

Route 2:

Place your £50 bet before kick off on ‘double chance’ of Dortmund/Bayern @ 1.25, this returns £62.50

Then place £50 on Draw in play during the game, currently @4.10, returning £205

This means if Dortmund or Bayern win, you will make £12.50 profit.

However if the game ends as a draw, you will make £105 profit.

Route 3:

Place your £50 bet before kick off on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75, this returns £87.50

Then place £50 on Under 2.5 Goals in play during the game, currently @2.12, returning £106

This means if there are Over 2.5 Goals you will make £37.50 profit.

However if the game ends with Under 2.5 Goals, you will make £6 profit.

 

04 / 05 / 2013

TOTTENHAM v Southampton

Spurs’ home form is decent and with them chasing Champions League football they will expect to win this game against a Southampton side who’s away form is nothing to shout about. There is a home/away GD swing of 21 going into this encounter favouring Spurs. Southampton are pretty much safe, with it being very unlikely they will slip into the bottom 3 with just 4 games remaining now.

QPR v ARSENAL

Arsenal are still fighting hard for a top 4 spot and a 1-1 draw with Manchester United last week kept them as favourites to finish 4^th ahead of Tottenham.  They really cannot afford any slip ups and even if they do win all their remaining games it may not be enough if Spurs win all of theirs. Arsenal know they cannot afford to drop any points here and they really come out fired up against Manchester United last week, if they can play at that level again they’ll manage an easy victory.

WEST HAM (dnb) v Newcastle

Whilst West Ham are safe, i still expect them to going into this home match against Newcastle with sufficient hunger to put in a solid performance. Sam Allardyce, along with Kevin Nolan & Andy Carroll will relish the chance to face their former club and securing the 3 points will be top of their agenda. The Hammers are looking to move further into the top half in what has been a great first season back in the top flight, whereas Newcastle are right back into relegation trouble after a shocking performance against Liverpool last week. The spanking they got from Liverpool combined with losing the derby to Sunderland has left the Magpies in a horrible position amid rumours of dressing room unrest at St. James’. Their away record this season is awful, winning just 1 from 17 games, losing 10, whilst The Hammers have a home record of W8 D5 L4 which isn’t too bad. Going into this game there is a home/away GD swing of 27 favouring West Ham, and I can’t really look past West Ham taking at least 1 point from this game.

BOLTON v Blackpool

A win for Bolton in this Lancashire derby would seal a place in the play offs for the home sides. They are in a great run of form with just one defeat in 6 games, winning 4 and drawing 1. Being one of the form sides of the division has coincided with Leicester, Nott’m Forest and Middlesbrough all stuttering, meaning Bolton now have this opportunity to win a chance of promotion. Since moving to Bolton, manager Dougie Freedman has really sorted the team out and has impressed me. If you look at how Crystal Palace have struggled since his departure you can see the effect he has. Blackpool are safe from the drop, and have no doubt improved since Paul Ince took charge. Having little to play for in terms of the league could affect the team and i think that they may not match Bolton for desire and tempo in this match. Bolton’s home record reads as W14 D5 L3, whilst Blackpool’s away record stands at W6 D7 L9. Going into this match there is a home/away GD swing of 26 favouring Bolton. Improving non-stop over the past few months and it would be no surprise if they prove to be too much for Blackpool.

CHARLTON v Bristol

If the season had another 5 games to go then Charlton would harbour serious ambitions of a play off push, having lost just once in their last 10 games, winning 5 and drawing 4. At home they have a record of W7 D6 L9, which admittedly isn’t great. However, they have now won their last 3 home games and will be full of confidence. Bristol’s away record is a key reason as to why they have already been relegation, with it reading as W3 D4 L15. Heading into this match there is a home/away GD swing of 13 favouring Charlton, mainly down to Bristol’s inadequacy at both ends of the field. The last time Bristol won an away game was way back in December ’12 and I see no reason why they would suddenly produce a winning performance here. Charlton can recall a win over Bristol earlier in the season by two goals to nil for an added confidence boost if necessary

 

DERBY (dnb) v Millwall

I don’t envisage Millwall succumbing to relegation, despite not seeing them taking the 3 points in this one with 1 point realistically enough for them to survive being dragged into the drop zone. They face a Derby County side who have an admirable home record of W11 D7 L4, whilst Millwall’s away record stands at W7 D7 L8. Derby haven’t been in the best of form recently, yet Millwall have been worse still. Fortunately for the Lions it requires the trio of Sheff Wednesday ( v Middlesbrough), Peterborough ( v Crystal Palace) & Barnsley ( v Huddersfield) to all win if they themselves lose for them to be relegated. In my eyes the side doesn’t possess much quality and i can see Derby taking full advantage of being at home and coming away with the spoils here.

6 Fold – Odds 16.91