13 / 08 / 2013
Conference Premier:
Alfreton v KIDDERMINSTER
Halifax v WREXHAM
Gateshead v GRIMSBY
Tamworth v BARNET
ALDERSHOT v Dartford
5-fold pays 50/1
23 / 03 / 2013
BOURNEMOUTH v Bury
I haven’t backed Bournemouth recently due to them being on a 5 game losing run, however they have now won their last two games so im hoping to jump on board a winning run here. They have beaten Stevenage and Oldham by 1 goal to nil, both away from home, and face a Bury side who struggling to the same level as these two sides. Bournemouth will be looking to transfer the confidence from these two away victories back to home turf, where they currently hold a record of W9 D6 L4, scoring 32 and conceding 18. On their travels, Bury have a record of W3 D7 L9, scoring 19 and conceding 31. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 26 (favours Bournemouth).
In Bournemouth’s home games this season there has been an average of 2.63 goals per game. In Bury’s away games this season there has also been an average of 2.63 goals per game. This statistic leads me to believe that there is likely to be O1.5 goals in this match.
As the league approaches the make or break period, it is interesting that Bournemouth have upped their game and got crucial wins to stay in the play off mix. This indicates to me that they have serious ambitions to make the cut and will look accept nothing less than 3 points against a team fighting relegation. I have a slight worry that Bury have dominated the H2H over the last 2 seasons, winning 3 from 4, yet in 3 of these games there has been O1.5 goals so perhaps this is the better option in this game, but i still fancy Bournemouth to do the business.
Scunthorpe v DONCASTER
After seeing Swindon win in midweek to cut Doncaster’s grip on a automatic promotion spot to just 3 points, they will surely be going out to maintain their position at the top of the league this weekend. They face a Scunthorpe side who have lost 3 on the bounce and are in serious relegation trouble. Doncaster have a good away record this season having W12 D4 L3, scoring 30 and conceding 17, whereas Scunthorpe’s home record is below average having W5 D5 L9 scoring 23 and conceding 32. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 22 (favours Doncaster).
In Doncaster’s away games this season there have been an average of 2.47 Goals per games, whilst in Scunthorpe’s home games there have been an average of 2.89 goals per game. Combined, the average home/away GPG is 2.68
The H2H stats make for interesting reading here, with Doncaster winning the last 4 games between the two sides and drawing the one before that. These results span over this season and the 2 previous. In ALL of these games there have been at least 3 games, whilst the average goals per game from these matches is 4.4. Mainly due to Scunthorpe’s defensive frailties and the previous games goal tallys i fancy O2.5 Goals in this game.
BURTON v Wycombe
Burton can boast the best home record in the league at present, and will be looking to maintain this record as they push for promotion. Their record currently stands at W14 D3 L2, scoring 43 and conceding 20. They face a Wycombe side who have been inconsistent of late, and find themselves sitting 6 points clear of relegation in mid table. I think this gap could work against them as the number of sides between themselves and the drop zone means that they have some room to breathe and may lack the necessary desire to down a team as strong as Burton. Wycombe’s away form this season reads as W7 D2 L10, scoring 21 and conceding 33. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 35 (favours Burton).
In Burton’s home games this season there have been an average of 3.32 goals per game, whilst Wycombe’s away games this season have seen an average of 2.84. Combined, the average home/away GPG is 3.08 – leading me to fancy O2.5 goals in this match.
Unfortunately, the H2H record strongly favours Wycombe, who have won the 3 meetings between the 2 sides, with at least 3 goals being scored in each game which backs up the O2.5 goals route.
Southport v KIDDERMINSTER
Kidderminster are top of the league, and their away form has played a big part in getting them there this season. Their record stands at W10 D5 L5, scoring 26 and conceding 15. They face a Southport side who are 16th position after losing 4 games in a row, and now have just 6 points between them and the relegation zone. Southport’s home record reads as W7 D4 L8, scoring 30 and conceding 34. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 13 (favours Kidderminster).
In Kidderminster’s away games this season there have been an average of 2.05 goals per games, whilst Southport’s home games have seen provided an average of 3.37 goals per game. Combined, the average home/away GPG is 2.71.
The H2H record stands in favour of Kidderminster, who have won 2 of the last 3 games, drawing the other, over this season and the last 1. These 3 games have seen 2 goals, 3 goals, and 4 goals so O1.5 looks a good shout. With O2.5 goals being scored in two of the previous H2H games, as well as the average home/away GPG of 2.71, I quite fancy O2.5 goals in this match.
Betting Summary
I have also found a nice 5-Fold that i think offers some decent value.
16 / 03 / 2013
MAN UTD v Reading
United have a near perfect home record this season of W13 D0 L1, scoring 38 and conceding 15. They have won 5 on the bounce, are unbeaten in 16 league games, and recently beat Reading away from home. Reading on the other hand have struggled to the extent that they have departed with manager McDermott. Away from home they have a record of W1 D2 L11, scoring 12 and conceding 27. These stats produce a home/away GD swing of 38 (favours United). After meeting twice this season already, United can recall 2 recent victories. As we approach the business end of the season i doubt Reading will fair aswell as they have against United this time round, despite the two losses. United seem to be more than keen to avoid needless losses and there is no sign of complacency within the camp. After their elimination from the Champions League to Real Madrid, and then the draw against Chelsea, SAF will want his side to get back to winning ways this weekend. I expect more than 1 United goal, and wouldnt be surprised if they kept a clean sheet. For this reason i will be backing United.
DONCASTER v Portsmouth
Doncaster will look to continue their promotion push against relegation threatened Pompey this weekend. They do not possess the most impressive home record, yet it is one that they can build on in this fixture, currently reading as W8 D4 L6, scoring 23 and conceding 19. They face a Pompey side who have given themselves some survival hope after 2 wins in their last 2 games, yet they go into this match on the back of a defeat to Leyton Orient. Doncaster have also won 2 of their last 3, but go into the game after a win over 7th placed Bournemouth. Other relevant recent results include wins over Hartlepool and Shrewsbury, both of whom have been struggling this season, with Hartlepool sitting just 1 place and 2 points above Pompey. Pompey’s away form has done them no favours this season, with their record reading as W3 D5 L11, scoring 18 and conceding 34. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 20 (favours Doncaster). The two sides have met already this season, with Doncaster running out victors by a single goal to nil. I expect a similar outcome here.
KIDDERMINSTER v Tamworth
After two away games on the bounce, Kidderminster return home this weekend looking to secure 3 points and maintain their play off position and hopes of promotion. They are clearly comfortable at home, boasting a record of W11 D3 L4, scoring 34 and conceding 18. They face a Tamworth side who have a decent away record in all honest, reading W6 D4 L7, scoring 25 and conceding 27. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 18 (favours Kidderminster). The head to head record between the two sides is strongly in favour of Kidderminster, with them not losing to Tamworth at all over the last 3 seasons, drawing 4 and winning 2, the most recent of which was this season in December where they won by 1 goal to nil away from home. I think Kidderminster’s drive for promotion coupled with the 7 points breathing space that Tamworth have over the relegation zone will lead to a home win here.
This Treble pays odds of 2.93
05 / 03 / 2013
Just a short outline of the stats which lead me to back the indicated teams in this set of mid-week fixtures from the English divisions.
CARDIFF v Derby
Cardiff home form – W13 D1 L2, Scored 27 & Conceded 11
Derby away form – W3 D4 L10, Scored 16 & Conceded 30
Home / Away GD Swing – 30 (Favours Cardiff)
Cardiff recent form (5 Games) – DWLWL
Derby recent form (5 Games) – LDDLL
Head to Head (3 Seasons) – Cardiff Wins = 4 Draws = 1 Derby Wins = 0
NOTTM FOREST v Ipswich
Nottm Forest home form – W8 D5 L4, Scored 28 & Conceded 21
Ipswich away form – W5 D4 L8, Scored 12 & Conceded 30
Home / Away GD Swing – 15 (Favours Nottm Forest)
Nottm Forest recent form (5 Games) – LDWWW
Ipswich recent form (5 Games) – LWLDW
Head to Head (3 Seasons) – Nottm Forest Wins = 4 Draws = 0 Ipswich Wins = 1
MK Dons v DONCASTER
MK Dons home form – W8 D4 L4, Scored 23 & Conceded 17
Doncaster away form –W11 D4 L2, Scored 28 & Conceded 13
Home / Away GD Swing – 9 (Favours Doncaster)
MK Dons recent form (5 Games) – LDDDD
Doncaster recent form (5 Games) – DDDWW
Head to Head (1 Seasons) – MK Dons Wins = 0 Draws = 1 Doncaster Wins = 0
Stevenage v BRENTFORD
Stevenage home form – W4 D5 L8, Scored 20 & Conceded 29
Brentford away form – W6 D7 L3, Scored 19 & Conceded 16
Home / Away GD Swing – 12 (Favours Brentford)
Stevenage recent form (5 Games) – LLLLL
Brentford recent form (5 Games) – DWDWW
Head to Head (2 Seasons) – Stevenage Wins = 2 Draws = 0 Brentford Wins = 2
Gateshead v KIDDERMINSTER
Gateshead home form – W4 D5 L4, Scored 16 & Conceded 13
Kidderminster away form – W8 D5 L4, Scored 21 & Conceded 11
Home / Away GD Swing – 7 (Favours Kidderminster)
Gateshead recent form (5 Games) – LLLWL
Kidderminster recent form (5 Games) – WWWWW
Head to Head (3 Seasons) – Gateshead Wins = 2 Draws = 2 Kidderminster Wins = 1
WREXHAM v Ebbsfleet
Wrexham home form – W8 D2 L2, Scored 36 & Conceded 19
Ebbsfleet away form – W3 D2 L10, Scored 20 & Conceded 35
Home / Away GD Swing – 32 (Favours Wrexham)
Wrexham recent form (5 Games) – WWWWD
Ebbsfleet recent form (5 Games) – WDWLL
Head to Head (3 Seasons) – Wrexham Wins = 3 Draws = 2 Ebbsfleet Wins = 0
Betting Summary
02 / 03 / 2013
MAN UTD v Norwich
This is a no brainer for me. United have a almost perfect home record of W12 D0 L1, with the defeat coming way back in September in a 2-3 defeat to Tottenham, whilst they have scored 34 goals and conceded just 15 at home. Norwich’s away record is poor, having W1 D1 L6, scoring 11 and conceding 26. This stats represent a home/away GD swing of 34 (favours United).
Recent form going into this game could not be much better for United, having won 4 on the bounce, 8 of the last 10, whilst being unbeaten in 17 games in all competitions. Norwich have picked up some valuable points over the last few weeks which has given them some breathing space from the relegation zone. Last week’s win over Everton will have boosted their confidence, but I still feel that away from home they will struggle. Despite managing to actually defeat United earlier in the season 1-0, last season United did the double and I fully expect them to pick up the 3 points on Saturday which will edge them ever closer to the title.
BRIGHTON v Huddersfield
The last couple of weeks have seen Brighton pick up 10/12 points against top half of the table teams, reinforcing their credentials for a play of spot. Furthermore, in this period they have beaten both Hull & Cardiff who themselves look shoe-ins for the play offs and automatic promotion respectively.
Going into this game Brighton will surely fancy themselves, having achieved a home record of W7 D7 L3, scored 23 and conceded 14. Their opponents, Huddersfield, have not lost in 2 games now as they look to move away from the relegation dogfight. Away from home their record is less than impressive having W5 D3 L9, scoring 16 and conceding 38. These stats represent a home/away GD swing of 31 (favours Brighton).
Brighton have beaten their opponents already this season, and despite Huddersfield doing the double over Brighton last season, due to Huddersfield’s poor defensive away record, I can see Brighton snatching this one.
Oldham v SHEFF UTD
It took some thinking for me to opt for this game, primarily due to Oldham’s good form. However, despite Oldham winning 3 on the bounce, they face a Sheff Utd side who have gone 5 unbeaten, winning 4 before a midweek draw with Leyton Orient. Of the 3 games that Oldham have won recently, 2 of them were home games against MK Dons, who are now winless in 7, and a Portsmouth side in freefall. Sheff Utd meanwhile have 3 away games in succession recently, beating struggling Bury and Shrewsbury sides, but notable defeating a good quality Bournemouth side. Another point is that i believe Oldham’s recent revival of sorts owes partly to the positive vibe the FA Cup had provided the club, with much needed funds and excitement in what had otherwise been a doom and gloom season. Now that their FA Cup bubble has burst, it would not surprise me should they experience a slump.
The Sheffield side have a solid away record, having W9 D6 L2, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Oldham’s home record is below par having W5 D3 L8, scoring 17 and conceding 19. These stats represent a home/away GD swing of 11 (favours Sheff Utd). I don’t envisage there being many goals in this one, but am backing Sheff Utd to edge it.
KIDDERMINSTER v Ebbsfleet
Its 2nd versus 23rd in this match up, with Kidderminster looking to keep pace with table toppers Wrexham. There appears to be a gulf in class in the Conference this season, with Kidderminster being one the sides who have been impressive both home & away. At home this season they have a record of W10 D3 L4, scoring 31 and conceding 14. They face an Ebbsfleet side who have faced difficulties on their travels this season, producing a record of W3 D2 L9, scoring just 18 and conceding 31. These stats represent a home/away GD swing of 30 (favours Kidderminster).
Recent form points to the direction of Kidderminster in terms of winning this tie, with the home side winning 6 on the bounce and 8 of the last 10 games. Ebbsfleet’s recent form is less impressive, yet not too shabby. There recent 5 game record reads as LWDWL. Perhaps relevant to this game is the fact that they lost to Grimsby in midweek 3-1, this being a Grimsby side who are going toe-to-toe with Kidderminster this season. The distance that the Ebbsfleet side travelled in midweek, combined with another journey on Saturday may have a negative effect on the side.
Interestingly over the last 3 season, in which there have been 5 games, the sides have been inseparable, drawing all of the matches. Despite this I expect nothing less than a home win.
MANSFIELD v Telford
Mansfield face Telford in this encounter, and as we near the business end of the season I expect the promotion chases to secure 3 points against this Telford side who are rooted firmly to the bottom of the table. They should be full of confidence this weekend having won 4 on the bounce and 8 of the last 10. Their home record stands at W10 D3 L3, scoring 37 and scoring 15. Their opponents this weekend have struggled away from home, producing a record of miserable reading: W3 D7 L7, scoring 22 and conceding 25, culminating in a home/away GD swing of 22 (favours Mansfield). Their recent form is awful, losing 5 on the bounce and 7 of the last 10, as well as being winless in the last 17 games in all competitions. The last 3 games between the sides have ended with draws but again, I can see a home win here.
WREXHAM v Alfreton
Yet another top end side at home in the Conference here, and again im backing them to pick up the 3 points against a team who have been in a slow, yet gradual slide down the table since the beginning of December. At home Wrexham have a record to be proud of – W8 D5 L2, scoring 35 and conceding 18. Alfreton have actually got a fairly decent away record of W6 D5 L7, scoring 23 and conceding 29. These stats give us a home/away GD swing of 23 (favours Wrexham). One worry I do have is that earlier in the season Alfreton beat Wrexham when away from home 2-4, but Nethertheless I would be surprised if Wrexham were unable to win this tie.
WOKING v Lincoln
Yet another Conference match I’m backing here, and once again another home team who I feel will benefit from the advantage that this brings. Woking still harbor hopes of clinching a play off spot, and despite being 12 points behind 6th place currently, they have been in fine form of late and it is their ambition that is also should see them through this game as victors. Their home form has being up there with the best in the league, having W10 D1 L5, scoring 32 and conceding 23. Woking go into the match on the back of two victories, first against a mid table Southport and then against play off contenders Forest Green. Beating Forest Green indicates that Woking have the quality to reach the play off zone, and should be capable of beating opponents such as Lincoln. This Lincoln side have won just once in their last ten games, and lost 3 of the last 4. They are out of form and are in real danger of relegation. Their away form reads as W3 D5 L7, scoring 20 and conceding 26. These stats provide us with a home/away GD swing of 15 (favours Woking). Earlier in the season, Woking beat Lincoln 0-2 away from home, and I would expect a similar result here.
Betting Summary
Best Odds as of 01/03/2013 with BetVictor
23 / 02 / 2013
Premiership
ARSENAL v Aston Villa
Despite losing to Blackburn in the FA Cup recently, I feel Arsenal will bounce back this weekend against a struggling Villa side. Their home form has been decent this year, with a record of W7 D3 L3, scoring 33 (Avg 2.53) and conceding 18 (Avg 1.38). Arsenal have won 3 of their last 4 at home in the league, whilst in their last 10 league games both home & away they have lost just 2, against Manchester City & Chelsea. It is obvious to most that Arsenal are no longer in the same category quality wise as the like of United, City & Chelsea, yet their form, and league position, suggests that they are still a decent side. I don’t really understand the big furor about them losing convincingly to Bayern Munich in CL recently as Bayern are a top quality side who could demolish anyone on their day. Villa have a been poor this season, struggling both home & away. When playing away from home as they are this weekend, Villa have a record of W2 D5 L6, scoring just 14 (Avg 1.07) and conceding 31 (Avg 2.38). This season the two sides played out a 0-0 draw in December, whilst last season Arsenal won the 3 games between the sides with scores of 3-0, 3-2, 1-2. Villa are clearly a weaker side this year, and I can see nothing other than an Arsenal win. If I had to predict a score for this game, I’d go Arsenal 2-0 or 2-1.
QPR v MAN UNITED
In their 2-1 win over Reading in the FA Cup on Monday SAF decided to rest a few of his first choice players, indicating both the squad depth he has at his disposal and the importance of the league. He knows after last season that they can not afford to slip up in games they should be winning, or their title rivals will look to seize the opportunity.
QPR lost 3-1 to United early in the season, and twice last season by 2-0 deficits. These head to head figures clearly show that United have no issue scoring past QPR, and despite their squad strengthening in the January transfer window I can see this match being no different. At home this season QPR have a record of W1 D7 L5, scoring a measly 8 goals (Avg 0.61) whilst conceding 19 (Avg 1.46). They face a United side who have been churning out results recently. Their away form record reads as W9 D2 L2, scoring 28 (Avg 2.15) and conceding 16 (Avg 1.23).
Wayne Rooney, Phil Jones and Paul Scholes appear to be unavailable for United this weekend, whilst QPR will be missing January signing Loic Remy. For United, these absentees should not be too much of an issue with their large squad, but QPR will desperately miss Remy and things look bleak for the West London club in terms of attacking threat.
I can’t see QPR finding the net in this game, so my score prediction would be United 0-2 or 0-3 winners.
Championship
BRIGHTON v Burnley
After their impressive midweek victory over table toppers Cardiff, I’m backing Brighton in this match. The Seagulls have a very decent home record this season having W6 D7 and L3, scoring 22 (Avg 1.38) and conceding 14 (Avg 0.88). They face a Burnley side who go into this game on the back of a 4 game winless run (LDLD). They have lost 50% of their away games this season, with a record of W5 D3 L8, scoring 24 (Avg 1.5) and conceding 30 (Avg 1.88). The two sides have already met this season, where Brighton won the game by 3 goals to 1 away at Burnley. The last 3 games that Brighton have played a re the main reason I am I of the impression that they will be victorious in this game. As already mentioned they beat Cardiff midweek, and in their previous 2 games they drew 1-1 with Blackburn who went into that match on a 3 game winning run, and beat Hull at home who themselves are looking for promotion this season. Brighton will be further boosted by the fact that Boss Gus Poyet is able to welcome back three players who missed the midweek victory of Cardiff, with Ashley Barnes returning from a three-match ban, whilst fellow striker Craig Mackail-Smith is expected to shake off a knee problem and skipper Gordon Greer should be back in defence after a hamstring injury.
WATFORD v Derby
Despite the controversy surrounding Watford’s utilization of the loan system this season, there can be no arguments that they are playing some wonderful football and gaining results, which is in part down to the added quality that these additions have brought to their squad. Watford’s home form this season has been a little bit inconsistent, with a record of W8 D3 L5, scoring 28 (Avg 1.75) and conceding 18 (Avg 1.13). They face a Derby side who are even more inconsistent away from home. Their away record reads as W3 D4 L9, scoring just 15 (Avg 0.93) and conceding 28 (Avg 1.75).
Watford approach this game having won 6 of their last 8 games, whilst Derby have won just 1 of their last 8. From Watford’s last 3 home games they have picked up 7 points, scoring 8 and conceding 3, whereas Derby have picked up 1 point from their last 3 away games, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Early in the season the two sides met and Derby won 5-1 at home, but this was at a time when Watford’s squad had yet to gel and they are a different side now. I’d be surprised if Derby found the net, and can see Watford getting a couple of goals at least here what with the average goals per games of the sides. Another area where I feel Watford have an advantage going into this encounter is in the squad available to each manager. Mark O’Brien, James O’Connor and Shaun Barker all out with knee injuries, whilst Kieron Freeman expected to be out for around a month after suffering a twisted ankle against Bolton in midweek and Gareth Roberts will be serving the final game of a three-match ban, the Rams are down to the bare bones at the back. As if this wasn’t enough of a headache for Derby, influential midfielder Will Hughes remains a doubt for Saturday after missed his first game of the season in midweek after a groin strain forced him off during the goalless draw with Wolves last weekend. Watford on the other hand will have the option of welcoming back 19-goal top scorer Matej Vydra and midfielder Cristian Battocchio having rested the pair to the bench in their 2-0 away win over Ipswich in midweek.
League One
OLDHAM v Portsmouth
I fancy Oldham to secure the 3 points against Pompey in this fixture. They go into the game with a little bit of decent form behind them having sandwiched the last gasp 2-2 draw against Everton in the FA Cup with victories over MK Dons (3-1) and Stevenage (1-2). Pompey look doomed this season, with League Two football looking likely for next season especially due to their disastrous current run of form. They are winless in 21 games, having lost 16 and drew 5, and whilst 2 of these draws came in the last two games they have played, I still can not see them ending this barren run. Oldham can take confidence from the fact that they have beaten Pompey already this season 0-1 away from home, so should fancy their chances on home soil. With both sides finding themselves towards the bottom of the table it is no surprise that neither have a decent home/away record to compare. Oldham’s home record reads W4 D3 L8, scoring 16 (Avg 1.06) and conceding 19 (Avg 1.19). Pompey’s away record reads as W2 D5 L9, score 16 (Avg 1.0) conceded 31 (Avg 1.94). Despite both sides having a negative GD home/away, there is still a 12 goal difference between them.
League Two
NORTHAMPTON v Plymouth
Im backing a home win here primarily down to the fact that Northampton are dominant at home whilst Plymouth struggle when away. Northampton’s record at home stands at W11 D2 L3, scoring 33 (Avg 2.06) and conceding 14 (Avg 0.88). Plymouth’s away record stands at W3 D5 L7, scoring 15 (Avg 0.88) and conceding 22 (Avg 1.88). Northampton have won 5 in a row at home, a run which has seen them score 12 goals and concede just 3.
Plymouth did beat Northampton in the first fixture this season 3-2, yet I do not see them repeating this result this weekend. Aidy Boothroyd has given his squad the best possible chance of winning against the Pilgrims by resting several key players for the midweek exertions at Wimbledon.
With Northampton being solid at home they won’t want to miss out on this opportunity to take 3 points off a Plymouth side who don’t travel well. At odds of around evens Northampton look great value this weekend.
Conference Premier
KIDDERMINSTER v Alfreton
Kidderminster go into this game full of confidence looking for their 5th win in a row as they attempt to maintain their promotion push. They have won 8 of their last 10 games, and more importantly have won 7 of their last 8 at home, a run which has seen them score 17 and concede 5. Their home record this season reads W9 D3 L4, scored 28 (Avg 1.75) and conceded 15 (Avg 0.94). When you consider that Kidderminster actually lost their first 3 home matches of the season, the record is even more impressive. They face an Alfreton side who are in danger of really being dragged into the relegation dog fight if they don’t get some good results together, sitting just 5 points clear of the drop zone. They have lost 4 of the last 5 games, conceding 10 goals in the process, whilst admirably scoring 6. Away from home they have been fairly decent compared to their home form, with their away record reading as W6 D5 L6, scoring 22 (Avg 1.29) and conceding 26 (Avg 1.53).
For Kidderminster they should feel that they have little to fear however, as over the last 2 seasons the sides have met 4 times, and Kidderminster have won 3 and drew 1 of the games. The one time that the sides have met when Kidderminster have been the home side ended in a 3-1 win, whilst the GD for Kidderminster from these games is +6.
The momentum that Kidderminster have going into this match should see them run out comfortable winners, and should cover a -1 if you’re feeling lucky.
NEWPORT v Telford
Its 5th versus bottom in this match, and a game which I feel should result in a home victory. Newport have been decent at home this season, W8 D4 L4, scoring 33 (2.06) and conceding 23 (Avg 1.43). They go into this game on the back of two victories against decent Woking and Mansfield sides. In the previous game before these victories they drew 2-2 at Tamworth, and although some may see this result as a glimmer of hope for Telford, Tamworth’s point came courtesy of two late goals including a 93rd minute penalty to seal the draw. Telford’s away form has been miserable, W3 D7 L6, scoring 21 (Avg 1.31) and conceding 23 (Avg 1.43). They go into this game on the back of 4 defeats and a draw, whilst being winless in 15 league games. The draw they picked up against Tamworth in midweek will have taken its toll on the side with them having to come back 3 times to secure a 3-3 draw. These two sides have met already this season, a game which resulted in a 2-4 scoreline in favour of Newport.
Bet Summary
The Soccer Surgeon 
